UIL 5A State Marching Contest 2023

[Samuel Culper]

7 minutes ago, SaxMeow said:

richland🤔i believe they were only .3 behind aledo at area

The risk in taking Area results and trying to project them to State is the way the ordinal system works.

At Area, you typically have a limited number of really top-level bands. And the ones who ARE there are going to be grouped closely together just because of those limited numbers.

It's a different story at State. At State the lineup is loaded. Two bands who may have been right next to one another in the rankings at Area may suddenly find 5 or 7 bands between them at State.

Repeat that across seven judges and two bands close to one another at Area  could turn into one comfortably in Finals and another well on the outside at State.

[Tubalord11]

29 minutes ago, Samuel Culper said:

The risk in taking Area results and trying to project them to State is the way the ordinal system works.

At Area, you typically have a limited number of really top-level bands. And the ones who ARE there are going to be grouped closely together just because of those limited numbers.

It's a different story at State. At State the lineup is loaded. Two bands who may have been right next to one another in the rankings at Area may suddenly find 5 or 7 bands between them at State.

Repeat that across seven judges and two bands close to one another at Area  could turn into one comfortably in Finals and another well on the outside at State.

And for those wondering, this is my exact reason I have them first out, using Area results in the past to predict state has been my downfall, not this year, but I’d absolutely love for Richland to make it to finals, loved their music book last year! 

[Tubalord11]

41 minutes ago, SaxMeow said:

richland🤔i believe they were only .3 behind aledo at area

Would love to hear why you have LT over North? I think they both have great shots at finals, just wanna know your personal reason

[Dave609]

I think it would be fun to throw my hat into the Ring with a prediction :)-

1st- Rouse HS

2nd- Cedar Park HS

3rd- Wakeland HS

4th- Leander HS

5th- Robert E. Hendrickson HS

6th- Friendswood HS

7th- Forney HS

8th- Aledo HS

9th- Roma HS

10th- Richland HS

11th- Lone Star HS

12th- McKinney North HS

 

First 2 Out-

Burleson Centennial HS

Pieper HS

[texastrumpetdad]

I'd question McKinney North making finals...I'm not seeing that.

[tamago1]

20 minutes ago, texastrumpetdad said:

I'd question McKinney North making finals...I'm not seeing that.

😬

[guard4life]

Wanted to throw my predictions into the mix for fun:) this is for fun please don't take me too seriously on some...

1st: Rouse

2nd: Leander

3rd: Cedar Park

4th: Wakeland

5th: Aledo

6th: Forney

7th: Friendswood

8th: Burleson Centennial

9th: McKinney North

10th: Lone Star

11th: Pieper

12th: Roma

[BandDad4Life]

19 hours ago, Dominic Da. Baritone said:

Here are my predictions for finals: open to questions, comments, and concerns:

1. Rouse

2. Cedar Park

3. Wakeland

4. Leander

5. Burleson Centennial

6. Aledo

7. Forney

8. Friendswood

9. Roma

10. Lone Star

11. Robert E. Hendrickson

12.  Lebanon Trail

Richland would have beat Aledo at Area if it wasn’t for one particular judge. 

[ChristopherRoden]

57 minutes ago, BandDad4Life said:

Richland would have beat Aledo at Area if it wasn’t for one particular judge. 

This happens allllll the time at Area. Usually everything shakes out as it's supposed to at state though. I remember my senior year at Clements, our ordinals were 1,1,1,1,9 so we got 2nd place behind Pearland who had 2,3,3,3,1 ordinals. Adding them all up they had 12 and we had 13 so they won the area. This is just one of many many many examples that happen on area nights, some of the strangest and shocking nights in texas marching band seasons each year!

 

[Anthony V]

Speaking as a Richland alum: I will always be over-the-moon to see great results from Richland. This is the manifestly the best Richland has been since 2016, and I sincerely hope they get very soon to the level of competitivity they were in 2005 and 2007. I personally think it is possible within the next year or so.

That said, what I have been less excited to see lately is hype that approaches the level of cringe. I have zero authority here, but I would kindly ask alum, parents, fans, &c., to consider whether their support for Richland on a public forum is constructive to the conversation. If your point has already been made, indeed made several times, I promise you that insisting upon your point will not augment other persons' perceptions of Richland -- but will in fact deteriorate them. For better or worse, people will generally remember the negative interactions better than they will positive interactions.

If Richland is your home team -- whether as an alum, parent, fan, &c. -- I think it makes more sense to let future results do the insisting. I'm pretty sure they'll get here soon enough.

[clarinote]

7 hours ago, guard4life said:

Wanted to throw my predictions into the mix for fun:) this is for fun please don't take me too seriously on some...

1st: Rouse

2nd: Leander

3rd: Cedar Park

4th: Wakeland

5th: Aledo

6th: Forney

7th: Friendswood

8th: Burleson Centennial

9th: McKinney North

10th: Lone Star

11th: Pieper

12th: Roma

if Leander wins the silver medal, we party hard. 

[Trumpet11]

4 hours ago, BandDad4Life said:

Richland would have beat Aledo at Area if it wasn’t for one particular judge. 

Keep in mind, that same judge tanked the score for Aledo as well…

[slandmomma]

Do they record it or broadcast on any platform that you guys know?

 

 

[PenguinGuy]

Gotta join the fun with predictions

1st- Rouse HS

2nd- Cedar Park HS

3rd- Leander HS

4th- Wakeland HS

5th- Friendswood HS

6th- Aledo

7th- Lone Star HS

8th- Forney HS

9th- McKinney North HS

10th-Robert E. Hendrickson HS

11th-Roma HS

12th- Richland HS

I have a hunch Hendrickson is going to place a bit lower than expected. Feel free to add your own opinion!

[Texasenthusiast]

3 hours ago, PenguinGuy said:

 

Gotta join the fun with predictions

1st- Rouse HS

2nd- Cedar Park HS

3rd- Leander HS

4th- Wakeland HS

5th- Friendswood HS

6th- Aledo

7th- Lone Star HS

8th- Forney HS

9th- McKinney North HS

10th-Robert E. Hendrickson HS

11th-Roma HS

12th- Richland HS

I have a hunch Hendrickson is going to place a bit lower than expected. Feel free to add your own opinion!

Just curious why you put friendswood in the top 5 when the majority have been 6-9

[clarinetistkai05]

3 hours ago, PenguinGuy said:

 

Gotta join the fun with predictions

1st- Rouse HS

2nd- Cedar Park HS

3rd- Leander HS

4th- Wakeland HS

5th- Friendswood HS

6th- Aledo

7th- Lone Star HS

8th- Forney HS

9th- McKinney North HS

10th-Robert E. Hendrickson HS

11th-Roma HS

12th- Richland HS

I have a hunch Hendrickson is going to place a bit lower than expected. Feel free to add your own opinion!

Why Friendswood over Aledo and Forney?

[Dominic Da. Baritone]

2 hours ago, saxbark said:

Does anyone have the detailed scores from area f?

 

[Dominic Da. Baritone]

There you go pookie 😘

[PenguinGuy]

3 hours ago, clarinetistkai05 said:

Why Friendswood over Aledo and Forney?

I actually haven’t seen Friendswood 😅 I kinda just threw them in there. On my list where would you put them?

[clarinetistkai05]

5 hours ago, PenguinGuy said:

I actually haven’t seen Friendswood 😅 I kinda just threw them in there. On my list where would you put them?

I’d swap Friendswood and Forney. I have my school making 5th / 6th. 

[CDLune VA]

My predictions for state:

 

Prediction #1

1. Rouse

2. Wakeland

3. Cedar Park

4. Leander

5. Aledo

6. Hendrickson

7. Forney

8. Burleson Centennial

9. Richland

10. Friendswood

11. Lone Star

12. McKinney North

 

Prediction #2

1. Rouse

2. Cedar Park

3. Leander

4. Wakeland

5. Aledo

6. Forney

7. Burleson Centennial

8. Hendrickson

9. Richland

10. Lone Star

11. Friendswood

12. McKinney North

[tennertrumbow]

leander could prove some people wrong over medalist predictions after what just happened at the super regional

[FHorn26]

12 minutes ago, tennertrumbow said:

leander could prove some people wrong over medalist predictions after what just happened at the super regional

Lots of surprises there, didn’t expect Wakeland to place as low as they did. Anything could happen, but I think the bands who had a chance to perform at the Alamodome today will have an advantage over the bands who didn’t because of it 

[lost]

4 minutes ago, FHorn26 said:

Lots of surprises there, didn’t expect Wakeland to place as low as they did. Anything could happen, but I think the bands who had a chance to perform at the Alamodome today will have an advantage over the bands who didn’t because of it 

Definitely an overlooked aspect. Regardless of placement, getting a feel for the Alamodome and procedural things regardless of slight differences in UIL and BOA procedures can be really helpful for easing nerves. I don’t think it’ll make a huge or giant difference, but it’ll be noticeable in the way groups carry themselves.

[bsk]

In addition to the two Leander 6A bands finishing 1st and 4th at San Antonio BOA, their three 5A bands that made state finished between 6th and 10th. Another 5A band, Wakeland, also made finals (13th). That seems like a darn good showing for 5A bands. Monday should be a fun competition for state prelims.