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Posted
  On 3/12/2018 at 4:13 PM, ChristopherRoden said:

Which area are we talking about? There have been realignments since 2016

I guess all of them.

Who do you think is making finals for each area?

Posted
  On 3/12/2018 at 7:44 PM, jv74 said:

I guess all of them.

Who do you think is making finals for each area?

That's a lot of predictions to make, 9 areas for 6A now means there's going to be A LOT of area finalists, anywhere from 63-90 bands will advance to Area Finals (assuming each area has enough bands for finals and depending on whether they get 7 or 10 area finalists) 

Posted
  On 3/12/2018 at 9:57 PM, xol727 said:

That's a lot of predictions to make, 9 areas for 6A now means there's going to be A LOT of area finalists, anywhere from 63-90 bands will advance to Area Finals (assuming each area has enough bands for finals and depending on whether they get 7 or 10 area finalists) 

Ok, I'll just start with my own area. Who do you think will make finals in Area D? Pflugerville is down to 5A, CTJ isn't going to Grand Nats And Austin is now 6A.

Posted
  On 3/13/2018 at 3:50 AM, Dog885 said:

Ok, I'll just start with my own area. Who do you think will make finals in Area D? Pflugerville is down to 5A, CTJ isn't going to Grand Nats And Austin is now 6A.

 

As an Area D native (go Wood), this has been on my mind. It's gonna be one heck of a bloodbath (as usual) with (no particular order) CTJ, Bowie, Churchill, Hendrickson, Round Rock, Cedar Ridge, Westwood, and Reagan all as strong programs who have all qualified for state in the past and have since maintained their skill. Keep in mind that's 8 out of the 10 final spots already, so I'm more focused on who will take those last 2 spots. Pflugerville (previously a consistent area finalist) is gone, so it opens up the doors to other programs. There are a handful of bands that could take these slots, I've personally got my eyes on New Braunfels, Hays, Austin, and Belton. My 2 predictions at the current time are New Braunfels and Belton, Belton because of a director change that could work massively in their favor, but Hays and Austin are both strong programs that could surprise me.

 

The part that hurts me the most is that only 5 (6 if we're lucky) bands will qualify for state, it's a headache to have to choose, but I think CTJ is a lock without a doubt.

Posted

2016 Area D Finalists - (11 since CTJ dropped out and in no order)

Reagan 

CTJ

Bowie

Round Rock

Cedar Ridge

Westwood

Churchill

New Braunfels

Anderson 

Hendrickson

Pflugerville (moved to 5A)

 

2014 Finalists - (no order again)

Westwood

Round Rock

Hendrickson 

CTJ

Cedar Ridge 

Anderson

Pflugerville (moved to 5A)

Bowie

Reagan 

Westlake (Moved to Area E)

(Churchill missed finals by 1 place and New Braunfels missed by a couple places)

 

Now for 2018, I think that locks are - 

Reagan

CTJ 

Bowie

Hendrickson

 

Safe bets - 

Round Rock 

Cedar Ridge

Westwood 

Churchill


The final two spots could go to a multitude of bands. Statistically speaking, Anderson should take one of the last two spots because they have made finals consistently in the past (making state in 2010, missing finals w/ Round Rock in 2012 but making finals again in 2014 and 2016)

 

However, there are some other bands that could steal the spot from Anderson such as Hays, Lehman, and Austin, as Anderson has unfortunately seen a "slump" in placement in the past two-ish years. 

 

It also wasn't too long ago that Akins was consistently making area finals, and they even made state finals. Could we see a resurgence of Akins as an area finalist? I say it's possible!

 

Last Two - 

Anderson

New Braunfels

 

Bubble -

Hays

Lehman

McNeil (made finals in 2012 and 2010)

Madison

Akins

Austin

Canyon

Posted

Area C, oops madea mistake

 

Flower Mound

Marcus

Hebron (obviously these 3)

Berkner

Wylie

North Mesquite

McKinney Boyd

 

That leaves 3 other spots, honestly I don't see enough of these area finalists to tell their potential, Allen could edge in again, and there's also McKinney and Sachse (I'm not 100% sure if all of these bands are in 6A next year, I'm pretty sure they all are though) Rockwall missed finals by a fair number of points but with a 10, 18, 9 in music, and 13 and 13 in marching, there's always a potential for a band like this to come back with cleaner marching and not have a random sticking out judge like that 18.

 

2016 Area C results:

http://www.uiltexas.org/files/music/6A_Area_C_Prelims.pdf

http://www.uiltexas.org/files/music/6A_Area_C_Finals.pdf

Posted
  On 3/13/2018 at 11:29 PM, LostChoirGuy said:

Just a note- you have waxahachie in the wrong area! :)

Thank you! I always make these little mistakes because the areas are so different between 1A-4A, 5A, and 6A. I need to pay more attention!

Posted
  On 3/13/2018 at 8:25 PM, bandperson1997 said:

2016 Area D Finalists - (11 since CTJ dropped out and in no order)

Reagan

CTJ

Bowie

Round Rock

Cedar Ridge

Westwood

Churchill

New Braunfels

Anderson

Hendrickson

Pflugerville (moved to 5A)

 

2014 Finalists - (no order again)

Westwood

Round Rock

Hendrickson

CTJ

Cedar Ridge

Anderson

Pflugerville (moved to 5A)

Bowie

Reagan

Westlake (Moved to Area E)

(Churchill missed finals by 1 place and New Braunfels missed by a couple places)

 

Now for 2018, I think that locks are -

Reagan

CTJ

Bowie

Hendrickson

 

Safe bets -

Round Rock

Cedar Ridge

Westwood

Churchill

 

The final two spots could go to a multitude of bands. Statistically speaking, Anderson should take one of the last two spots because they have made finals consistently in the past (making state in 2010, missing finals w/ Round Rock in 2012 but making finals again in 2014 and 2016)

 

However, there are some other bands that could steal the spot from Anderson such as Hays, Lehman, and Austin, as Anderson has unfortunately seen a "slump" in placement in the past two-ish years.

 

It also wasn't too long ago that Akins was consistently making area finals, and they even made state finals. Could we see a resurgence of Akins as an area finalist? I say it's possible!

 

Last Two -

Anderson

New Braunfels

 

Bubble -

Hays

Lehman

McNeil (made finals in 2012 and 2010)

Madison

Akins

Austin

Canyon

This is a super solid prediction. I definitely can see what you wrote happening.

Posted
  On 3/22/2018 at 2:35 AM, Crown2018 said:

I like those predictions for area D but in your opinions what is the hardest area?

I think Area B is going to be tough

 

No order...  and I think I am missing a few! 

 

Keller

Keller Central

Halcolm

Richland

Plano East

Timber Creek

LD Bell

Duncanville

Waxahachie

Prosper

Coppell

Martin

Posted
  On 3/22/2018 at 9:14 PM, PESHMom said:

I think Area B is going to be tough

 

No order... and I think I am missing a few!

 

Keller

Keller Central

Halcolm

Richland

Plano East

Timber Creek

LD Bell

Duncanville

Waxahachie

Prosper

Coppell

Martin

 

Oh my!!!

 

 

 

How I see it hopefully for finals and state

 

Locks for state

-Keller

 

Safe bets

-Haltom

-Ld Bell

-Coppell (when haven’t they in the past years)

 

 

Bubble to advance

-Richland

-timber

-duncanville

-Waxahachie

 

Low bubble

- Martin

-Plano east

 

 

This is atleast whay is like to see. My opinion.

If 5 advance then I would want timber creek but if it somehow ends up being 5 then timber and Richland would be great !!! So excited that all of this is coming up so fast

Posted
  On 3/23/2018 at 5:28 AM, Jelonfish said:

Oh my!!!

 

 

 

How I see it hopefully for finals and state

 

Locks for state

-Keller

 

Safe bets

-Haltom

-Ld Bell

-Coppell (when haven’t they in the past years)

 

 

Bubble to advance

-Richland

-timber

-duncanville

-Waxahachie

 

Low bubble

- Martin

-Plano east

 

 

This is atleast whay is like to see. My opinion.

If 5 advance then I would want timber creek but if it somehow ends up being 5 then timber and Richland would be great !!! So excited that all of this is coming up so fast

 

Don't sleep on Prosper....they had a really solid year and were right on Richland's heels at 5A state last year. 

 

Area B is going to be incredible!!

Posted
  On 3/23/2018 at 12:35 PM, Band_dad_of_2 said:

Don't sleep on Prosper....they had a really solid year and were right on Richland's heels at 5A state last year.

 

Area B is going to be incredible!!

I’ve heard they were incredible. Hopefully we see them in finals but idk about advancing . Especially with these other incredible performers

Posted
  On 3/23/2018 at 12:35 PM, Band_dad_of_2 said:

Don't sleep on Prosper....they had a really solid year and were right on Richland's heels at 5A state last year. 

 

Area B is going to be incredible!!

 

  On 3/23/2018 at 1:34 PM, Jelonfish said:

I’ve heard they were incredible. Hopefully we see them in finals but idk about advancing . Especially with these other incredible performers

 

I remember how disconcerting it was for us when Leander went from 5A to 6A in 2016-17.  The competition at the 6A level is extraordinary!  

  • 2 weeks later...
Posted

Hopefully for Area B, 6 will advance.   I think in the thread called Conference Realignments they went thru the list off all possible
bands, and there was a good chance that 30 bands would receive a 1 rating.     At least we can hope!   

  • 2 weeks later...
Posted

From what I can tell, Area H was unaffected by realignment, still Regions 11, 29 and 32.  But it looks like it dropped from 24 6A schools to 22, with Wagner and Southwest dropping to 5A.  This means if more than 2 bands miss getting a 1, there will only be 3 slots for State!

 

Region 11: Clemens, Del Rio, Eagle Pass, East Central, Judson, South San Antonio, Steele

 

Region 29: Brandeis, Brennan, Clark, Holmes, Jay, Marshall, O'Connor, Stevens, Taft, Warren

 

Region 32:  Lake Travis, Leander, Vandegrift, Vista Ridge, Westlake

Posted
  On 4/12/2018 at 8:17 PM, Samuel Culper said:

From what I can tell, Area H was unaffected by realignment, still Regions 11, 29 and 32. But it looks like it dropped from 24 6A schools to 22, with Wagner and Southwest dropping to 5A. This means if more than 2 bands miss getting a 1, there will only be 3 slots for State!

 

Region 11: Clemens, Del Rio, Eagle Pass, East Central, Judson, South San Antonio, Steele

 

Region 29: Brandeis, Brennan, Clark, Holmes, Jay, Marshall, O'Connor, Stevens, Taft, Warren

 

Region 32: Lake Travis, Leander, Vandegrift, Vista Ridge, Westlake

Top 2 will be Leander and Vandergrift
Posted
  On 4/14/2018 at 6:02 AM, Mash said:

 

I wouldn't count out Vista Ridge

I have a feeling vista will take 3rd but just my top 2 are Leander and Vandy there’s no doubt in my mind they won’t take the top 2 spots

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