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Posted

Reedy is definetly gonna be on the fence of 6A and 5A this year, still waiting to see the numbers but I am confident that they will be right on that edge like their nextdoor neighbors at Wakeland. Makes me wonder how the districts will look like this coming alignment. Maybe we see a Prosper/Frisco/Denton megadistrict? Not sure yet 

Posted

I took a dive into 6A for next year, and man, some crazy stuff. From what I've seen, the consensus cutoff for 6A seems to be 2,250, so for now I will base things off of that number.

Area H is cooked. If Leander and Wagner indeed move up, that's 5 state spots. All of Region 32 would be in finals, and they would very much take up all 5 spots. This is a much, much worse situation than Area J could ever be in.

Speaking of Area J, they would have some additions (Walnut Grove, McKinney North, and maybe Sherman?), but not enough to get to 5 state spots, unless Reedy gets over the cutoff. Melissa saw almost +500 in enrollment from the previous cycle, so they will most definitely be 6A in the 2028-30 realignment.

In Area B, Mansfield Legacy and Cedar Hill will move down to 5A, and moving up to 6A will be Aledo, Granbury, and maybe Fossil Ridge. Although that's a net positive, they are still stuck on 4 state spots.

Area C is also cooked, but in a different way from Area H, and it is why I think Region 25 will be coming back to this area. Garland, Rowlett, Mesquite, Lancaster, and potentially both Berkner and Pearce will all drop to 5A, although Red Oak could potentially make the jump up depending on their numbers. This would completely change the landscape of 5A Area C, but the 6A schools would be starving, and bad. I hope and pray Berkner and Pearce don't drop, because if they do, major changes are coming.

In Area E, Region 13 sees the most change out of all the regions, with Foster, Hightower, George Ranch, and Dulles all dropping to 5A. Manvel would also drop to 5A from R-17. At this point, the area would be sitting at 4 state spots, but if Iowa Colony somehow turned numbers above the cutoff, that's potentially 5 state spots.

Nothing else really caught my eye, all the other areas should stay roughly the same.

Posted
1 hour ago, BugWub24 said:

I took a dive into 6A for next year, and man, some crazy stuff. From what I've seen, the consensus cutoff for 6A seems to be 2,250, so for now I will base things off of that number.

Area H is cooked. If Leander and Wagner indeed move up, that's 5 state spots. All of Region 32 would be in finals, and they would very much take up all 5 spots. This is a much, much worse situation than Area J could ever be in.

Speaking of Area J, they would have some additions (Walnut Grove, McKinney North, and maybe Sherman?), but not enough to get to 5 state spots, unless Reedy gets over the cutoff. Melissa saw almost +500 in enrollment from the previous cycle, so they will most definitely be 6A in the 2028-30 realignment.

In Area B, Mansfield Legacy and Cedar Hill will move down to 5A, and moving up to 6A will be Aledo, Granbury, and maybe Fossil Ridge. Although that's a net positive, they are still stuck on 4 state spots.

Area C is also cooked, but in a different way from Area H, and it is why I think Region 25 will be coming back to this area. Garland, Rowlett, Mesquite, Lancaster, and potentially both Berkner and Pearce will all drop to 5A, although Red Oak could potentially make the jump up depending on their numbers. This would completely change the landscape of 5A Area C, but the 6A schools would be starving, and bad. I hope and pray Berkner and Pearce don't drop, because if they do, major changes are coming.

In Area E, Region 13 sees the most change out of all the regions, with Foster, Hightower, George Ranch, and Dulles all dropping to 5A. Manvel would also drop to 5A from R-17. At this point, the area would be sitting at 4 state spots, but if Iowa Colony somehow turned numbers above the cutoff, that's potentially 5 state spots.

Nothing else really caught my eye, all the other areas should stay roughly the same.

Wagner reported 2294.5 and should move up; Leander is closer at 2263, but I believe they should still move up. 

Garland and Rowlett are reportedly opting up to 6A. 

I would like to add some personal insight on Area F, as Davis dropped a good 900+ students from the previous numbers, which might be a bad sign for the Aldine and Spring bands. Area F barely got to 30 bands qualified from region before Aldine DQ'd. More than likely that Area F remains stuck at 5 state spots.

Posted
13 hours ago, gee5 said:

Vandegrift turns in 2361 and Vista Ridge turns in 2496. Both will remain in 6A.

Oh and Cedar Park turns in 2304, so they will go to 6A. This is all assuming that the cutoff goes down from 2275 (I think).

It was already hard enough for Brandeis to make state...

Posted
56 minutes ago, gee5 said:

Garland and Rowlett are reportedly opting up to 6A. 

The opting up thing only applies to athletics. Music operates purely on enrollment figures. This is why we have seen Lakeview Centennial, Naaman Forest, and South Garland compete in 5A for marching band for the past few years.

Posted
6 minutes ago, neverplayedaninstrumentmom said:

Anyone know the #s for both Belton schools?

I haven't seen Lake Belton's. Belton reported 1763.

Posted
Just now, Mike McBandiel said:

There’s potential that 5A is gonna look COMPLETELY different next year based on the enrollments that I see

Cedar Park (2304)

Rouse (2460)

Leander (2263)

Wakeland (2245)

Aledo (2404)

there’s potential that all of the top 5 bands at 5A state last year are all 6A next year👀

Congrats to the 2026 state champions THE LONE STAR high school ranger band :)

Posted
13 hours ago, Samuel Culper said:

Rouse has been there before.

I don’t remember that. Leander definitely has, but I don’t remember Rouse ever being there. Not saying they haven’t. I just don’t remember it. 

Posted
15 hours ago, wtxbd02 said:

Legacy Ranch only submits 1,048!  They're going to be a developing threat fast in 4A. 

i think when they’re open for all 4 grade levels they’ll definitely move up to 5A and as a person who lives right in that north austin area i wouldnt be surprised if they even move up to 6a a few years after that. that being said i think they’ll be just as competitive as they are in 4A when they move up!

 

13 hours ago, BugWub24 said:

Area H is cooked. If Leander and Wagner indeed move up, that's 5 state spots. All of Region 32 would be in finals, and they would very much take up all 5 spots. This is a much, much worse situation than Area J could ever be in.

this is INSANITY 6A area h seems like its going to be as bloody as 6A area d. assuming they dont move schools around into different areas it’ll likely be westlake or lake travis (or hot take maybe even rouse depending on the year) that misses out on that 5th state spot in that area. 

for 5A area h it seems that champion spot will be leander’s to take for the foreseeable future. the LH vs glenn battle continues but i dont see either of them not making state

Posted

What is everyone’s thoughts on 5A region 2 getting sent back to area C as they were in the past? With another prosper and Frisco school coming to area B and it pretty much being a Frisco region v2 and region 2 not really supplying much (Ryan Denton the colony and argyle) could we see a shift of them to area C instead?

Posted
1 hour ago, LeanderMomma said:

I don’t remember that. Leander definitely has, but I don’t remember Rouse ever being there. Not saying they haven’t. I just don’t remember it. 

Yep, they were in 6A for either 2 or 4 years before Glenn opened. And they were the only LISD school in 6A. They moved down at the same time Vandy and Vista moved up.

Posted

will reedy and wakeland move up? They're both really close and I see the possibility of them moving up. Same thing with Walnut Grove, and Mckinney North, many of the bands in 5A Area B are on the fence and I'm curious to see how this area will be affected next year, maybe a potential complete revamp of state spots?

If wakeland, reedy, Walnut Grove, and Mckinney North move up, 4 5a Area b finalist spots are now open, with the potential of even more depending on how it goes, please let me know with any updates.

Posted (edited)
On 11/2/2025 at 7:53 PM, BugWub24 said:

Area C is also cooked, but in a different way from Area H, and it is why I think Region 25 will be coming back to this area. Garland, Rowlett, Mesquite, Lancaster, and potentially both Berkner and Pearce will all drop to 5A, although Red Oak could potentially make the jump up depending on their numbers. This would completely change the landscape of 5A Area C, but the 6A schools would be starving, and bad. I hope and pray Berkner and Pearce don't drop, because if they do, major changes are coming.

Berkner and J.J. Pearce both turned in enrollment above 2,300, so thankfully they will not drop down to 5A. This keeps Area C at 20 bands without a jump from Red Oak, which we still don't know numbers for yet, so potentially 21 bands. However, this does not guarantee 4 state spots, as Skyline may not get 1s every year.

UPDATE: Red Oak had an enrollment of 2298 last school year, above the current 6A cutoff. So I can confidently say they will make the jump. This puts my heart at ease with Area C now lol.

Edited by BugWub24
Posted
On 11/2/2025 at 7:53 PM, BugWub24 said:

Area C is also cooked, but in a different way from Area H, and it is why I think Region 25 will be coming back to this area. Garland, Rowlett, Mesquite, Lancaster, and potentially both Berkner and Pearce will all drop to 5A, although Red Oak could potentially make the jump up depending on their numbers. This would completely change the landscape of 5A Area C, but the 6A schools would be starving, and bad. I hope and pray Berkner and Pearce don't drop, because if they do, major changes are coming.

Now that I think Area C is at a comfortable enough spot (21 bands, and all but one will absolutely not get 2s), I think the DFW areas will stay as they are for another go-around, including Area J. Smaller schools in Regions 24 and 25 are seeing major growth, especially Celina, Melissa, and Prosper Richland. It'll be a couple of cycles before Celina goes 6A, but I see Melissa and Prosper Richland going 6A in the cycle after this upcoming one.

Posted

Some West Texas updates:

- Frenship Memorial) 2,194

- Frenship) 1,980

- West Plains) 1,278

- Plainview) 1,247

- Randall) 1,117

- Canyon) 1,085

Frenship Memorial almost doing a 4A to 6A jump after opening this year!  Frenship down to 5A as well.  That makes area A 5A much more competitive, especially if West Plains moves up who is on the higher end of the 4A cutoff bubble.  Plainview will be a solid addition to Area A 4A after making area finals in 5A this year.  Randall only grows 20-30 and Canyon actually down 10 from the last realignment so both of them will stay solidly 4A.  

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