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ChristopherRoden

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Everything posted by ChristopherRoden

  1. I've only seen Woods and Fair, hope to see these schools soon!
  2. I think Forney and Waxahachie will be competing for first here!
  3. I think everyone is pretty confident in LISD taking all three medals here this year. I'm really curious who will take that 4th (and last?) spot to state. I'm really enjoying Wylie East and Rock Hill this season and haven't seen enough of the McKinney's yet. I'm sure Prosper will be up there too though.
  4. While I do quite agree with these rankings for this point in the season, I hope our friends at Clements can take the feedback they received this weekend to strengthen their chances for late season success!
  5. I do think Elkins is much improved and I really enjoyed watching them at BOA Conroe. They have a great show for UIL and if they can clean it up, I'm sure they'll be pleased with their placement.
  6. I was actually quite impressed with the couple early season videos I've seen. I think they're sort of sticking with a very digestible theme done all out with stage elements. That being said, I think their performance captions are higher this year at this time than last year. I think their show is called "The Factory" or something along those lines? I'm not a show designer (yet 🤞) but I would've taken this show in a direction that talks about The Jungle by Upton Sinclair (a pivotal book in the beginning of the 20th c. that discusses meat factory conditions). Perhaps a little too close to home with the Boar's Head issues recently 😕 In any case, I think they're doing a fantastic job and should do really well here!
  7. What do you mean scored differently? HEB uses BOA sheets I’m pretty sure.
  8. I’d put a bit of an analysis in the scores from Conroe over in the Area I thread. If I remember correctly, they use BOA sheets here? Will be a cool second look at these programs from that angle leading up to Area
  9. I think lone star could make a run for a medal…
  10. That’s really tough to say as I haven’t been able to see all of the top 15ish shows for this area. Plus, when I did see them it was veryyyy early season. Would love for them to be back in finals though!
  11. I saw a clip a few weeks ago and yeah I was really pretty impressed!
  12. All of this to say, I don't know that this contest is always a great indicator for placements at Area. In fact, placements shift on average +/- 1 spot between contests. This list takes into account only participants of both contests in the same year (ie. Bridgeland did not attend Conroe last year, so they're not accounted in the ranking for 2023 Area I even though they were the 'real' 1st place) See below: 2023 Conroe placements: 1. Cy Fair 2. Cy Woods 3. 7L 4. Tompkins 5. Jordan 6. JET 7. Cy Ranch 2023 Area I: 1. Cy Fair NC 2. Tompkins +2 3. Cy Woods -1 4. 7L -1 5. Jordan NC 6. JET NC 7. Cy Ranch NC 2022 Conroe: 1. Bridgeland 2. Cy Fair 3. Jordan 4. Tompkins 5. JET 6. Cy Falls 2022 Area I: 1. Cy Fair +1 2. Bridgeland -1 3. JET +2 4. Tompkins NC 5. Jordan -2 6. Cy Falls NC 2021 Conroe: 1. Cy Woods 2. 7L 3. JET 4. Cy Fair 5. Bridgeland 2021 Area I: 1. Bridgeland +4 2. Cy Woods -1 3. 7L -1 4. JET -1 5. Cy Fair -1
  13. So here is where things get really interesting with results from this weekend of the 3 Katy schools in contention. GE is (as far as I know) not judged at area in really any capacity. So a better way to look at the Conroe results for Area predictions could be through the performance captions. I'm also of the belief that things shake out more accurately as far as numbers go for finals judging. (smaller group to compare and you're comparing at more of the same echelon) Therefor I'll include rankings taking both Cinco's prelims and finals #'s. Music Ind: 1. Tompkins, 2. Jordan, 3. Cinco Ranch (prelims) 4. Cinco Ranch (Finals) Music Ens: 1. Cinco (prelims) 2. Cinco (finals) 3. Jordan 4. Tompkins Music overall: 1. Cinco (prelims) 2. Jordan 3. Cinco (finals) 4. Tompkins Ind Vis: 1. Tompkins 2. Jordan 3. Cinco (prelims) 4. Cinco (finals) Ens Vis: 1. Cinco (finals) 2. Jordan 3. Cinco (Prelims) 4. Tompkins Vis total: 1. Cinco (finals) 2. Jordan 3. Tompkins 4. Cinco (prelims) This gives us a really cool idea of what's going on between the three schools. To me, it looks like they're relatively evenly matched in performance captions (at least right now). One exception is Cinco's very high prelims ensemble music score. (something the ordinals below don't readily account for) And hypothetically, if the performance captions were measured with ordinals*: Tompkins: 17 Jordan: 13 Cinco (Prelims): 15 Cinco (Finals): 15 Throw in the GE captions**: Mus GE 1: 1. Cinco (Prelims) 2. Jordan 3. (tie) Tompkins & Cinco (Finals) Mus GE 2: 1. Cinco (finals) 2. Cinco (prelims) 3. Jordan 4. Tompkins total mus GE: 1. Cinco (Finals) 2. Cinco (Prelims) 3. Jordan 4. Tompkins Vis GE: 1. Cinco (prelims) 2. Tompkins 3. Cinco (finals) 4. Jordan Total GE: 1. Cinco (prelims) 2. Cinco (finals) 3. Tompkins 4. Jordan It's clear Cinco DOMINATED the General Effect caption with the panel this weekend amongst the other Katy schools AND kept up with them in the performance captions. I think this bodes well for their future! I am really excited to see how this fluctuates in the next coming weeks. *One limitation of using ordinals is that it equates the differences between two consecutive bands to 1.0. I used ordinals because as far as I know, that's how Area will be judged. **GE captions are notoriously subjective. This component of judging often leads to the most contrasting opinions on individual bands in both the judges and the audience.
  14. The judging tends to be worse though 🫣
  15. Compare the aggregate for this contests in the predictions to the caption awards/class placements and you’ll find your answer
  16. Schedule dropped…. Just as egregious as the finalists
  17. Wow both this and the Houston BOAs have shocking results
  18. I was blown away so… I have no idea
  19. Well I knew my predictions weren’t gonna be entirely accurate but there must be a LOT that was missed on the livestream then….
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