Samuel Culper Posted October 15, 2015 Report Share Posted October 15, 2015 It is going to be interesting how this area plays out, as I think there may be a band or two who could make Finals at State that will not advance from Area. The big key is how many bands get a 1 this weekend (and next Tuesday). I think I have the lineups, but would love it if anybody could correct any errors: Region 8 (Saturday - Midway High School) - A&M Consolidated, Bryan, College Station, Corsicana, Rudder, Temple, University, Waco Region 12 (Saturday - Judson High School) - Alamo Heights, Brackenridge, Burbank, Edison, HIghlands, Jefferson, Lanier, Seguin Region 18 (Tuesday - Toney Burger Center) - Bastrop, Cedar Creek, Connally, Crockett, Dripping Springs, Lanier, LBJ, Lockhart, McCallum, Reagan, San Marcos, Travis Region 26 (Saturday - Kelly Reeves) - Cedar Park, East View, Elgin, Georgetown, Hutto, Leander, Manor, Marble Falls, Vandegrift, Vista Ridge That's 38 bands I count. I would love to see 25 bands advance so that we get 5 State slots. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
principalagent Posted October 15, 2015 Report Share Posted October 15, 2015 It looks like a fair amount of bands have both come down from 6A and up from 4A in the last alignment. I think 25 is certainly possible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LKendrick Posted October 15, 2015 Report Share Posted October 15, 2015 . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LKendrick Posted October 15, 2015 Report Share Posted October 15, 2015 Last Year: Region 8: Waco - 2University, Waco - 2Temple - 1Rudder, Bryan - 3Corsiciana - 1College Station - 1Bryan - 1A&M Consolidated - 1 Region 12: Lanier - 2Jefferson - 2Highlands, SA - 1Edison - 2Alamo Heights - 2Breckenridge - 1Burbank - 1Seguin - 2 Region 18: Ann Richards - 3Bastrop - 2Cedar Creek - 2Connally - 1Crockett - 1Dripping Springs - 1Lanier - 3LBJ - 1Lockhart - 3McCallum - 1Reagan - 1San Marcos - 1Travis - 2 Region 26: Cedar Park - 1East View - 1Elgin - 2Georgetown - 1 Leander - 1Hutto - 2Manor - 2Marble Falls - 2Vandegrift - 1Vista Ridge - 1 Last year 21 got 1s, so I don't think it's unreasonable to think that 4 more could get a 1 this year, especially on a state year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LKendrick Posted October 15, 2015 Report Share Posted October 15, 2015 Also, I believe that betting on the top 5 being the expected is a little dangerous. 1) It's UIL. 2) See Round Rock the last two state cycles. 3) Connally was 6th at state last go around, they get clean and sound fantastic. I'll direct you to their 2013 finals performance. I feel like they get kind of lost in the shuffle. Video I saw early on indicated much of the same. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r1pxBUybvow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LHSax Posted October 15, 2015 Report Share Posted October 15, 2015 It would take a lot of improvement from the area's smaller bands to manage 5 advancing from area this year. On the one hand I could see it happening because of the growth of these areas in the past few years as well as the fact that it is a state year. However historically, many of the bands that got those 2/3's last year, have consistently gotten those ratings. What's a bit scary actually is that if we go off last years numbers, this area is actually closer to advancing 3 than advancing 4, which would be a travesty. Let's hope the judges are feeling generous And I don't think anyone's counting Connally out by any means. I made that mistake last go round. But I do think this will end up being a 6 way battle for 4 spots. And I don't think there are any guarantees for those spots either. Is there still a rule where if 2 music judges and 1 visual judge have you advancing, but you don't finish in an advancing placement, you still advance? Wouldn't surprise me at all if that didn't get used somehow (wishful thinking?) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xenon Posted October 15, 2015 Report Share Posted October 15, 2015 You have to have 2 music judges and 1 marching judge having you in top-3, not just in advancement position. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LHSax Posted October 15, 2015 Report Share Posted October 15, 2015 You have to have 2 music judges and 1 marching judge having you in top-3, not just in advancement position. that's what it was...well still possible with this bunch in my opinion. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ladybookworm Posted October 16, 2015 Report Share Posted October 16, 2015 Looking at Austin's weather, there's a chance it might rain.... Hypothetically, if the whole day got rained out, would it just move to a weekday? There's also a chance we might not see finals for this area. Hopefully, the forecast will change and the rain chance will go down. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
principalagent Posted October 16, 2015 Report Share Posted October 16, 2015 You can't trust a weather forecast in Texas five minutes in advance. I think it's too early to worry about weather for now HighSchoolBandNerd212 and takigan 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Samuel Culper Posted October 16, 2015 Author Report Share Posted October 16, 2015 Yeah, 60% chance now doesn't look good. Gotta keep an eye on that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoobydoo Posted October 16, 2015 Report Share Posted October 16, 2015 Yeah, 60% chance now doesn't look good. Gotta keep an eye on that. It's to early to start worrying. Forecasts this far out are not very accurate. Arlington was initially showing a really good chance of rain, but ended up with great weather. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RenMacnary Posted October 17, 2015 Report Share Posted October 17, 2015 Schedule for Region 26: 6a bands first. Westwood starts at 4:30, followed by Rouse, Cedar Ridge and Round Rock. Stony Point continues at 5:30, followed by McNeil and Lake Travis Break 5A starts at 6:45 with Elgin, followed by East View, Manor, Marble Falls and Georgetown at 7:45. Break Back with Hutto at 8:30, then Cedar Park, Vista Ridge, Vandegrift at 9:15 and Leander at 9:30. 'sgoing to be great! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
principalagent Posted October 18, 2015 Report Share Posted October 18, 2015 18 19 1's in this area so far. If Region 18 holds, then this area will send a well deserved 5. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bandamonium Posted October 18, 2015 Report Share Posted October 18, 2015 18 1's in this area so far. If Region 18 holds, then this area will send a well deserved 5. I can only wish that we have 7 groups get 1's in region 18 so we can have 5 advance from Area D. LISD is just too dominant and you can't split them up into different areas because of their close proximity! Great programs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Samuel Culper Posted October 18, 2015 Author Report Share Posted October 18, 2015 18 1's in this area so far. If Region 18 holds, then this area will send a well deserved 5. Can you share details on 8, 12 and 26? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
principalagent Posted October 18, 2015 Report Share Posted October 18, 2015 Can you share details on 8, 12 and 26? 8 sent 5, with two bands being close with a 221 spread. 12 sent 6, with one band close with a 221. 26 sent 7 8, and I don't remember seeing a close band. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Samuel Culper Posted October 18, 2015 Author Report Share Posted October 18, 2015 Cool. Very optimistic we get to 25. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighSchoolBandNerd212 Posted October 18, 2015 Report Share Posted October 18, 2015 8 sent 5, with two bands being close with a 221 spread. 12 sent 6, with one band close with a 221. 26 sent 7, and I don't remember seeing a close band. I hate to be nit-picky, but there were 8 bands from Region 26 that got a 1. On another note, Region 18 had 7 5A bands receive 1s last year, and this year there needs to be 6 bands with 1s in order to have 5 state-qualifier spots at Area. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
principalagent Posted October 18, 2015 Report Share Posted October 18, 2015 I hate to be nit-picky, but there were 8 bands from Region 26 that got a 1. On another note, Region 18 had 7 5A bands receive 1s last year, and this year there needs to be 6 bands with 1s in order to have 5 state-qualifier spots at Area. You're correct! I miscounted on UILForms. Original post edited. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighSchoolBandNerd212 Posted October 18, 2015 Report Share Posted October 18, 2015 Here's Connally from a week ago at the Vista Ridge Marching Festival: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nX8P6ISzn4I Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Samuel Culper Posted October 18, 2015 Author Report Share Posted October 18, 2015 Even better. 25 bands feels pretty certain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LHSax Posted October 20, 2015 Report Share Posted October 20, 2015 I hate to be nit-picky, but there were 8 bands from Region 26 that got a 1. On another note, Region 18 had 7 5A bands receive 1s last year, and this year there needs to be 6 bands with 1s in order to have 5 state-qualifier spots at Area. This would be great news for Area D! Bad news for the rest of the state People consistently ask why there's so much focus on Area D bands on the site. Well it's partially because most of the users here are from Centex. But here's the other reason - Fun numbers from the past 4 rounds of UIL 5A State (previously 4A) 15/16 Area D bands advancing to State have made state finals (potential for 5 for 5 this year?) 7/12 medals have gone to Area D Last 3 gold medalists have come from area D, with three different bands winning those. Will there be a 4th this year? HighSchoolBandNerd212 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
principalagent Posted October 20, 2015 Report Share Posted October 20, 2015 Not to mention that Area D's dominance has been increasing over the past years in 4A/5A. One medalist 3 cycles ago, two medalists two cycles ago, and three in 2013. If it weren't for Wakeland and maybe Waxahachie, there would be a serious case for the top five from Area D making the top 5 in 5A finals. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Samuel Culper Posted October 20, 2015 Author Report Share Posted October 20, 2015 What happens if Saturday is a complete washout? Or even if all 25+ bands don't manage to get in a Prelims performance? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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