Jump to content

Recommended Posts

Posted

Does the addition of the new waxahachie school in 2027 jeopardize waxahachie high’s placement in 6a for the 2026-2028 cycle? Or will that only affect them in 2028? 

Posted

With snapshot day coming up in a couple days, I did a look at the previous two cycles worth of enrollment numbers for 5A/6A Area C to have a good idea of how things could end up, pending the official cutoff numbers.

Royse City and Waxahachie won't be affected on this year's cycle, as each of their second high schools will both be opening in 2027. Worthy Fate (RCISD) will open with just freshman and sophomores, and will likely start out as a 4A. Same with Waxahachie Creek.

In Region 3, it looks to be all the same with one exception - I see Rowlett easily moving down to 5A. They've declined in enrollment over the past few years, and they were right on the 6A cutoff this past cycle.

Obviously, there are no Region 4 schools even close to 6A, but I could see Sulphur Springs moving up to 5A based on recent trends.

Region 20 is where some interesting things could happen. Berkner is the smallest in RISD, and enrollment there has been declining, so depending on the cutoff, they could potentially move down to 5A. On the other hand, Red Oak has seen increased enrollment, and could potentially move up to 6A (pending the official cutoff, of course).

Finally, in Region 21, not much change, except I could see Lindale moving up to 5A if recent trends maintain. Longview was on the cutoff this past cycle, but they increased in enrollment significantly from the previous cycle, so I expect them to stay in 6A.

Posted
On 10/28/2025 at 7:39 PM, Tbcord140 said:

half a student? what could they have possibly done 😂

🤣Surprisingly there were quite a few schools like that. Had something to do with hours I think. I’m not sure.

Posted

Sulphur Springs is right on the bubble of where the 4A cutoff will be.  
 

In Area A looks like Plainview could move down to 4A with their submission of 1,247.  

Posted

Richland is at 1796, the new one in prosper, they are very much safely in 5A for this year.

PHS, RH, and WG are now near each other in enrollment too, 2605, 2530, and 2476 respectively.

Posted

Also some other schools are now at risk of dropping down to 5A with large enrollment drops (notably Little Elm at 2444, Boswell to 2402, and Legacy at 2190, they could all be successful at the 5A level, but this depends on the bubble.)

Community is also at 1488, welcome to 5A!!!

Melissa counts at 2204, they can now be considered in contention for 6A. Imagine an Area J with them, McKinney North, maybe a frisco school and Walnut Grove. That would be nearing 25 bands, maybe more if we see unexpected growth from some other schools!

Posted
30 minutes ago, wtxbd02 said:

Celina and Panther Creek definitely moving up to 5A.  Football world consensus is the cutoff will be around 1,250 since enrollment around the state is down.   

I wonder what the football world thinks for the other few cutoffs, at least for 4A, 5A, and 6A. Theres a couple schools I'm curoious about that could jump or drop that I haven't seen their numbers for yet.

Posted
12 minutes ago, dfwhorn said:

I wonder what the football world thinks for the other few cutoffs, at least for 4A, 5A, and 6A. Theres a couple schools I'm curoious about that could jump or drop that I haven't seen their numbers for yet.

I've seen 2,250 for 6A/5A.  Not sure about the others.  

Posted
Just now, wtxbd02 said:

I've seen 2,250 for 6A/5A.  Not sure about the others.  

2250 sounds about right. You're right about the decreasing, so that sounds about right. If it was even 2400 cutoff that would be a significantly smaller 6A

Posted
1 hour ago, gee5 said:

Rouse turns in 2460, a lock for 6A.

That area just got much more competitive. Are Vandegrift and Vista Ridge still 6A? 

Posted
25 minutes ago, lost said:

That area just got much more competitive. Are Vandegrift and Vista Ridge still 6A? 

I haven't seen numbers from either of them yet. I will say I don't think anyone really has them on the radar to drop to 5A.

Posted

A 4A drop that could be instantly very interesting is El Paso Hanks.  They've been trending down a lot recently and were at 1,364 last year on the TEA Enrollment Report which was a drop of 32 from the last realignment.  I'm not sure if they'll QUITE get there but would instantly be an Area A contender and state finalist contender.  

Have heard Kaufman will also be close but just rumors.  5A Honor Band Finalist last year and really solid marching band that would instantly contend for state finals.  I would surprised if they dropped but have read a few rumors on the football forums. 

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
×
×
  • Create New...