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TrenBS

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Everything posted by TrenBS

  1. I would recommend personally pasting the area draw orders as you find them and then cutting/placing times based on the schedules, just to save work later, some areas have posted their draws so just throwing this out there
  2. Was talking more about this year, especially with yearly state its changed how bands approach their shows
  3. Its pretty wild how they pull that off fairly consistently but then at state they dont medal, really shows what one week can really do
  4. I agree with all of this, that is allπŸ˜…
  5. I have 2 predictions for 6A area C taking different things into account, both have same top 3 for early on predictions: 1. Hebron 2. Marcus 3. Flower Mound Ok now the rest, here are my 2 likely scenarios from what Ive seen 4. Prosper 5. Boyd/Wylie (draw) 6. Boyd/Wylie (draw) 7. Wylie East β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€” 8. Rockwall 9. Sachse 10. Rock Hill β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€” 11. Plano Sr. 12. Lewisville or 4. Wylie 5. Prosper 6. Boyd/Wylie East (draw) 7. Boyd/Wylie East (draw) β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€” 8. Rock Hill 9. Sachse β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€” 10. Allen 11. Rockwall 12. Lewisville (This explanation is also how I feel with UIL in general, area C is just a good example which explains the long explanation besides nerd shenanigans). The way I see UIL judging that seems to have some logic and consistency is that these finalists/state qualifiers have cleanliness and difficulty factors which separate these bands into β€œtiers”, so top 3 are on a different level of difficulty with higher levels of cleanliness which causes the point division, where 4-6/7 (depending on if a tie occurs), are on a tier below, which from the shows Ive seen so far, the Wylies, Prosper and Boyd reside, in which the cleanliness decides placements or if they belong in those categories. If we were to say Prosper played a same level difficulty show as Marcus or Flower Mound but due to the jump is significantly less clean, they get pushed down a tier besides the content being on the same level, but would place 4th since they are on that edge of moving up. If a 7th tie advancement to state occurs, I really wouldn't be surprised, and tie breakers can go any way with Boyd and Wylies since I enjoy the writing and direction Boyd has more, while the Wylies utilize more advanced technique, which will end up going to judge preference. For the rest, its just personal opinion and just how I think they would turn out, Allen being in finals is if their new direction with the reduced numbers into a varsity group go well. Rockwall is pushing harder into BOA they could move up more spots, and Rock Hill seems to have taken some heavy hits with Walnut, not saying they are bad, but I personally dont see them on the same level as the bands above them for a little while until they full recover. Some dark horses I can see are Braswell, McKinney High, and Plano West/East, as they would comprise my 13-16, something Ive also noticed is that the score divide from 3rd to 4th has been closing very recently, being 17 and 29 in 2018, 15 and 29 in 2021, and then now merely 17 and 25 this past year, with Marcus losing both of their marching captions to people below them, and while I dont see a major flip happening this year, these top groups at area in particular may have to tread lightly in future years if the momentum of the Prosper, Wylie, and McKinney schools continue, which is always fun. Of course the actual placements are purely opinion, but I like explaining my thought process as if someone else has a different insight on these comps, it give new perspectives that I may have not seen before.
  6. The schedule generally comes out a week or 2 before the comp, so expect it soon
  7. Area B is in my opinion the toughest, but its a close second honestly, the top 3 battle each other than the next 5 is a bloodbath, area B is a bloodbath between the top 5 and a bloodbath between the next 4 haha
  8. 100% prediction definitely aint gonna happen lol, but I do have confidence in McKinney schools, at least Boyd and North since they are significantly better than last year as of now, High has improved but they need a few more years, I had like 3 paragraphs written out but felt like a bit much, if anyone wants my reasoning I would rather dm than make a wall of textπŸ™ƒ
  9. Yall know Wylie East isnt going to this right? πŸ˜… Ive also seen the McKinneys, Prospers, Keller, L.D, and Wakeland, so Im fairly confident with at least the finalists, could be wrong though since its an opinion
  10. 1st: L.D. Bell (GE) 2nd: Wakeland (Music) 3rd: Keller (Visual) 4th: Waxahachie 5th: Timber Creek 6th: Robert E Hendrickson 7th: Southlake Carroll 8th: McKinney Boyd 9th: Prosper 10th: Timber Creek 11th: McKinney North 12th: Duncanville A champion: Whitesboro(All captions) AA champion: Lovejoy(All captions) 2nd: Grapevine 3rd: Poteet AAA champion: Wakeland(All captions) 2nd: McKinney North 3rd: Forney AAAA champion: L.D. Bell (GE/Music) 2nd: Keller (Visual) 3rd: Waxahachie
  11. Something I think people dont realize is that theres a huge difference between 4A competition and 5A competition, where Argyle was the end all say all best in 4A in recent years to realistically, not making state had Wakeland made a 1 at region, not discrediting any 1-4A bands at all, but I dare you to put Hebron, Vandegrift, Cedar Park, Cedar Ridge, Rouse, Leander, or any others in 4A state and tell me thats a fair fight, if that makes sense lol
  12. I mean Ive heard their fine arts director is really trying to bring the plano bands to their former glory, so honestly if more than one showed in finals I wouldnt put it completely out of the picture
  13. Gonna revive since its honestly a pretty good competition despite normal finalists not showing, but if anyone has any more info on bands appearing then would be dope
  14. Personally I dont see Plano Sr. in top 6, but dont get me wrong, there would be nothing more amazing than experiencing the total shock with not only a massive dark horse, but it being a Plano school which hasnt dominated since like the 90s-2000s, so Im all for it lol
  15. Should mention that crown is 1st, Boston is 2nd, and BD is now at 3rd in terms of average scores, with crown having the second highest overall score as of now, if itll stick that will be up to time but looking good for crown right now
  16. I think its a good thing honestly to have these spots open, it may make the high level competition smaller, but it give multiple bands the opportunity to make finals at this comp when they couldnt even dream of it previously, so it gives many students the experience they normally wouldnt be able to, and we could see with these spots opening more bands reaching this level of excellence
  17. My bet is like 1. Wakeland 2. North/Lone Star 3. Lone Star/North 4. Lebanon/Colony/Argyle/Melissa Lebanon was a decent margin ahead of Argyle so I dont see them placing in the top 4, top 5 is much more reasonable for Argyle
  18. They have had a rough 2 years with their head director being a goober and overall bad luck with feeders, but its looking great for them and all McKinney schools with strong freshman all around and an increasing standard of quality. Boyd and North Im confident will make state and while I dont believe state is reasonable for high this coming year, area finals is definitely in the picture and considering they havent made it since 2016 (7 years now), that is fantastic to see for their growth. Their show is also very interesting with 2 of the selections being Blue Shades and Rhapsody in Blue, so again, while personally I dont see them making state, I will comfortably put them in the 10-13 range
  19. Deleting old **** prediction and putting new one cause forgot this thread existed haha 1. Hebron 2.Flower Mound 3. Marcus (close/tie) 4. McKinney Boyd 5. Wylie 6. Prosper 7. Rock Hill (tie) 8. Wylie East 9. Rockwall 10. Lewisville 11. McKinney High 12. Plano Sr. Like I said, just my opinion and nothing is factual, any lists disagreeing or completely different are all good, cause this is just for fun lol
  20. I mean if he is anything like Brent, than Wakelands gonna be on a new level, which I could honestly see if them and Lone Star ever become 6A would cause another shakeup in the area zoning because having the top 4-5 being locked every year would really call for a rezoning of at least one group
  21. I noticed that after I sent lol, went to my notifications on the bottomπŸ˜‚ To make it more on topic, I am expecting from area C to have Prosper, Boyd, and Wylie to make it, with one of them potentially making finals, most likely Prosper if they can cut the fat out of their show. Im fairly sure we are going to see a repeat of last year but with Hebron on top, and Marcus will most likely place higher from what Ive heard from them. For new finalists, besides potentially Prosper Im honestly not certain, Im curious if anyone has any groups that they think can break into the top 14
  22. Oh they will easily make finals I feel, they placed 4th in 2021 and they didnt go just because they went over time at region, even if staff changes are rough I dont see them missing finals much less state prelims My take is that Argyle will not make state, they placed 4th honestly because Wakeland was a no show, so unless they can become better then Lebanon, North, and/or Lone Star I dont see them making unless they have 20 bands at area
  23. I really like how the show sounds till the ballad which is the furthest shown of the show, the show doesnt have any breaks between parts and steps on the gas. They are also getting clinics from Vandegrifts guard director and the Blue Coats assistant brass caption lead, so Im fully expecting stronger placements compared to last year
  24. I think its because people are really focused on how BOA and the SMBC are changing with Texas changing to yearly, so area is getting covered, besides 5A B with the Wakeland and overall competitive/wild card nature of this year
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