TrenBS

Yeah, although it is prelims so initially its gonna be more random, but thats my rough guesstimate

I would say as of now my personal prediction stands, Boyd's run was pretty good considering their 4AM call time at the school, and was one of the cleanest groups of this half, although I was heavily underestimating Eaton as a whole, Im not sure if I would place them in finals due to dirt, but at BOA they would for sure perform well, otherwise these are my potential finalists in this half in my opinion: Hebron Marcus McKinney Boyd Wylie Braswell Rock Hill Lewisville Sachse Rockwall

Just to answer and point something out, but theres no GE, and a tie for anything above 5th with 2 schools will be broken and therefore create a full 7th place band which means zero extras from the “top 6” will be added to state, I dont know about 3 way ties going past 6th honestly so cant answer that, and Waxahachie isnt here, which would make most of this area cry if they were😭

6 for this area, 12 finalists and a tie for 6th means both bands advance, so there is room for that

This is my current prediction but it could flip flop with anyone in the 5-9 range personally, I think Boyd and WEast have the best shot since they overall with balancing cleanliness and difficulty are the best in UIL standards (Boyd had probably the easiest show in finals last year and got 6th due to cleanliness, they are way cleaner this year with a show more in line difficulty wise with the finals group so I believe they will place high, and WEast is harder and while less clean, still shows clear improvement from last year while having a tougher show), but frankly it could go any way, Boyd and WEast could just as easily place 9th and 10th as they could place 5th and 6th, the only groups that are locked in state personally are the top 4, everyone else completely depends on if its a good run and/or what the judges see as superior for UIL. My two scenarios for the last 2 state qualifiers if I had to pick out based on difficulty would be Rock Hill and Wylie East, and cleanliness would be a fight between Boyd, and the Wylies, but again could be dead wrong and the two finalists could be Braswell and Rockwall or Sachse and McKinney high, this year is such a hard year to predict since everyones improved so much that finding whos superior on the micro level which area is all about, is nearly impossible, so people shouldnt really worry much about the placements besides just having the privilege of experiencing state, and should just enjoy being able to compete with incredible bands

This is going to be by far the most talented area C 6A competition, personally, I think 2021 was the most entertaining but just looking at all of these bands, its clear that this is going to have the highest quality performances to ever come out of this area, with 3 (essentially) locked state finalists, 1 group that could be low finalist/top 16, and a cluster of groups just trying to brute force their way into the teens at state (the McKinneys, the Wylies, Braswell, Rockwall, and Rock Hill just to name the ones that most people expect) and groups that would certainly place in the top half if they can get past area, which is not mentioning the groups that have strong chances of breaking into area and would have been locks had they competed at this level ANY other year, so even if your band or your alma mater doesn't place like you expect, know that almost everyone is going to be on point and at their best relative to their previous years. And from the looks of what UIL is passing (5 extra visual fundamental hours and I can only assume the revamped 5 judge system will see overwhelming support from directors), this activity is evolving to something no one would expected back in the 90s or 2000s, and with the increased strength of middle school music education, these groups are going to reach levels pretty unheard of, and were beginning to see the shift mainly in area B with Timber Creek and Keller Central, who in my opinion will become some of the new powerhouses in the state, and it will be entertaining to see if anyone from Area C will follow suit.

Definitely well as long as they dont have to stay at the stadium the whole time and get time to rest, thatll put them Sachse and Hebron at advantages going into finals

Yup, its officially 6 bands to state, a relief considering the difficulty of this area

Theres 32 groups pretty sure so 2 groups can get 2s, which considering this area only 1 could maybe get one realistically unless a group goes over time

My placement on the Wylies have varied so much the past few days with new recordings from them, Rock Hill, Boyd, and just opinions, its going to be such a tight range for scores this year

Its pretty wild how alike and yet how different the 2 areas are, from their skill levels being overall similar at face value, but how design between the 2 areas are noticeably different in execution, its pretty neat!

Keller has a ton of dirt in their closer as they just put it in recently, its clear they are going for the long run but their show to me isnt going to go well at UIL, plenty of standstill, slow drill, and dirt now with the closer, now I wouldnt place them below 7th assuming they recover the dirt but considering how little time they have, I personally think KCent and Southlake will beat them at area, states a different beast but regardless this isnt state, otherwise my top 4 are pretty solid in place

This is my last prediction before area, and Ill probably have something alike to the Roman army to justify two certain placements😅: 1. Hebron (full sweep) 2. Marcus 3. Prosper 4. Flower Mound 5. McKinney Boyd 6. Wylie/Rock Hill/Wylie East 7. Rock Hill/Wylie/Wylie East 8. Wylie East/Rock Hill/Wylie 9. McKinney High 10. Sachse 11. Lewisville 12. Plano East/Braswell/Rockwall/Plano Sr./Allen Now I know one of the big 3 not being 1-3 is pretty unheard of as of recently, but after Prospers performance Im quite confident that unless Flower Mound rewrote large chunks of their show, Prospers sound is extremely clean and exposes a lot of sections which they execute cleanly, which considering that Prosper would likely take captions on the musical standpoint, Flower Mounds main strength this year is clean visuals, which considering its judged in the minority Prosper could realistically place high enough musically for visuals to not matter. Boyd Im pretty confident in 5th, their show was built for UIL and mainly placed “low” (still right outside finals at Prosper) due to visuals which wasn't far behind schools with shows built for BOA, which to me a school that can design a show for UIL and still do fairly well at BOA means at UIL they are going to do great (Marcus is an extreme example), and the Wylies-Rock Hill cluster is going to be the closest this competition may see to a 3 way tie, I see them all nearly as equals in balance between difficulty and clean, I would place WEast the lowest just due to how they arent very clean (in relation to the top 8, not in general) while having the hardest show of the 3, and I can see even the 5-8 cluster being completely random. Then I see a gap, McKinney High has a BOA show but still has plenty for UIL to enjoy, same with Sachse, Lewisville is doing well, and the rest is just one big blood bath on top of another, larger bloodbath This could all be inaccurate come area, but its so exciting because this is by far in my opinion, the deepest area this year in terms of overall skill, there isnt a major dip to where you dont see a band as an area finalist until 16th+, and for state you could argue 9th-11th deserve it and would do well, had UIL implemented their new 5 judge system this year (WW, Brass, Perc, Vis individual and ensemble), this wouldnt feel like a scholastic organized UIL area contest but a BOA contest with a different judging system, I am so excited to see how this plays out!

Difference between Henny and Boyd was .5, and they missed because Boyd got melted visually, and Hendrickson I guess the color pink was just too much for the GE visual judge

Placements will cone out either leaked after finals or well after finals at night or the next day

These results do show how GE effects results heavily, watching these groups if I were to go based on clean/difficulty then some of these bands I wouldnt have in top 12 honestly, not discrediting their work but this shows how unpredictable BOA can be based on how judges treat certain aspects of shows and how not having certain things in a show will just tank your score hard, huge congratulations to some of these bands though for breaking records and expectations of their placements!

I agree! Im not so certain in placing them in the top 6, but I do see them in finals, or barely out of if at all

Yeah they are typically harsh this time of season, but by state it always sounds fantastic and fun! Always on the henny train🚂

My current top 10 (didnt see enough for a top 12+): 1. Keller 2. Wakeland 3. Waxahachie 4. Southlake Carroll 5. Prosper 6. McKinney Boyd 7. Rock Hill 8. Duncanville 9. Sachse 10. McKinney High Note that Im not exactly great with BOA predictions and this is from my head which is more 50/50 on cleanliness/GE rather than the 60/40 or more GE leaning that BOA is and from personal preference, so if something looks extremely off to yall, thats why😅, its a very tight competition which is very exciting!

Erm, drum corp*🤓, but really Wakeland was strong, wouldnt be surprised to see them win

Their music is gonna be easy to rank/judge for the judges, its more of the marching and combining of both aspects that will probably drag them down if they arent clean, now if they make state they will have better placements due to ensemble music category and content, but their goal should be to make state, afterwards they could maybe make state finals if state goes well for them

This is my probably last prediction as these are the weeks that will decide placement, so I want this to be a proper prediction for me if possible: 1. Hebron 2. Marcus 3. Flower Mound 4. McKinney Boyd/Prosper 5. Prosper/McKinney Boyd 6. Wylie 7. Wylie East 8. Braswell 9. Rock Hill 10. Rockwall 11. Sachse 12. Lewisville I think Boyd and Prosper have really stepped up this year and will be fighting for the 4th spot, I think Boyd can win due to the nature of UIL with Boyd being very clean in the marching and visual department (which their closer really shows off), and could frankly see Prosper at 4th too, Wylie and Wylie East have gotten better since last year, but they arent very far off from last year which Boyd and Prosper are aiming to well surpass themselves every year, so I believe they will sit either below 5th and/or the 4th spot depending on how clean they are. Braswell has shown more strength this year and could maybe beat Rock Hill, but I need to see something more recent from Rock Hill before saying anything, and the bottom 10-12 can be completely random with the next 4 or 5 bands honestly

I edited my prediction but I have my final one, and who places where is going to be decided based on whether cleanliness/execution or difficulty/effect is how the judges rank bands, I have my 2 scenarios since a ton of the mid-low finalists are around the same level due to the clean/difficult each band has is around similar this is if cleanliness is for me: 1. Wakeland 2. Keller 3. Timber Creek 4. L.D Bell 5. Waxahachie 6. Prosper 7. McKinney Boyd 8. Keller Central 9. Southlake Carroll 10. Forney 11. Duncanville 12. Rock Hill If difficulty weighs more than Boyd will go down to the 9-14 range for me, and Hendrickson would be in finals, and this list is more of what I personally would like to happen (within realism of course), but this could be drastically different than my or anyone's predictions, which shows how really close this competition is, which I am all for!

1st. Wakeland (visual/GE) 2nd. Keller (music) 3rd. Timber Creek 4th. L.D. Bell 5th. Southlake Carroll 6th. Prosper 7th. Mckinney Boyd 8th. Waxahachie 9th. Keller Central 10th.Forney 11th. Duncanville 12th. Hendrickson A Champion - Whitesboro AA: 1st. Lovejoy (sweep) 2nd. Grapevine 3rd. Poteet AAA: 1st. Wakeland (sweep) 2nd. Forney 3rd. Robert. E. Hendrickson AAAA: 1st. Keller (GE/Visual) 2nd. Timber Creek (Music) 3rd. L.D. Bell