NETexasBandFan Posted December 17, 2017 Report Share Posted December 17, 2017 I wanted to make a thread showing potential contenders for the 4A state contest, and I will try to make a 6A version as well. Most of my knowledge of 4A is within Areas B and C, as they are 4As toughest areas, so there are A LOT more notes about those bands written there, so if people could help me with A, D, and E, that would be awesome! 4A Area A: Pecos (Last years Area Champion and state advancer) Greenwood (State advancer, 2nd in area) Wylie Abilene (Moving to 5A as of now, but past state advancer) Big Spring (Missed state last time by a tie breaker) Predicted state spots: 3 In all honesty, this is by far the easiest 4A area, and sometimes it's anyone's game for who does well here. 4A Area B, the big boy: Princeton (Moving to 5A and is well above the cutoff, but I'll leave them here regardless, Bronze medalist) Argyle (Ol Argyle, silver medalist and usual state champion of whatever division they're currently in) Canton (State advancer, basically always makes it and a super fine band program) Wills Point (4th in state in 2016) Melissa (Missed state by 1 point, and EXTREMELY deserving band also, definitely would've done well had they made state, and with Princeton out of the picture, they have a good shot) Anna (Also a really fine band, but in by far the toughest area, regardless it's worth not counting them out) Farmersville (3A silver medalist and moving to 4A, they probably won't make state due to being in Area B, but nothing is impossible) Area finalists will likely be Argyle, Canton, Wills Point, Melissa, Anna, Aubrey, Farmersville, with 3 spots open to fight for. Kaufman is going to 5A so they won't be there for one. Graham and Krum will be good contenders to edge in again. Predicted state spots: 4-5, division changes might help factor in how many get 1s. Aubrey is also a fairly good band, but this area is extremely tough. 4A Area C: North Lamar (defending state champion and was even more amazing in 2017, they're a state contender for sure) Spring Hill (5th in state and an amazing military band, another for sure) Little Cypress Mauriceville (missed state finals by 1 place, and also a really fine band) Paris (made state last time) Atlanta (Moving to 3A, and is well below the cutoff. They have made state every year since 2006 though, but most likely won't be in 4A though) Lumberton (5A state band going to 4A, will most likely but fighting for a state finals spot) Bridge City (Missed state by 1 spot last year, and I saw them that year and honestly thought they would've gotten it in 2016) Pleasant Grove (Usually a really good band, and has improved a lot since a couple of rough years) Finalists will be North Lamar, Spring Hill, LCM, Paris, Bridge City, Carthage, and Pleasant Grove for sure, the last 3 spots could be anyone's game, Pittsburg could take one, they did beat Carthage at NAMMB by placing 3rd, which is rather impressive, there's also Bullard again. Predicted state spots: 4-5, with a lot of this areas bands moving divisions and a lot more have fell off from 1s, it's mostly likely going to be 4, and hopefully no less than 4. Carthage and Bullard are also really good military bands that made area finals here, but I think it would be hard for a military band to squeeze into a bottom state spot in area finals. 4A Area D: Springtown Kennendale Freedricksburg China Spring (6th in state) Casteberry Burnet (State alternate) Predicted state spots: 5 4A Area E: Port Isabel La Feria Rio Grande City Grulla Hidalgo (state finalist and really awesome band) Rio Hondo Crystal City Predicted state spots: 5-6 So far my predictions are Area A: Canyon, Pecos, Greenwood Area B: Argyle, Wills Point, Canton, Melissa, 5th spot would be between Farmersville and Anna. Area C: North Lamar, Spring Hill, Lumberton, and LCM. a 5th spot would likely be Bridge City Area D: Springtown, Kennendale, Fredricksburg, China Spring, not sure about the 5th Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daysin Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 For Area D I wouldn’t throw out Esperit de corps (Burnet). They missed state last year by a spot and usually made state. And Area C will most likely have 5 Spots. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LKendrick Posted December 23, 2017 Report Share Posted December 23, 2017 If Canyon moves back down in Area A, which right now it't looking like they will, I anticipate they'll definitely be at state and in contention for a finalist spot. Would be cool to see my Alma Mater back in finals. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NETexasBandFan Posted December 24, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 24, 2017 For Area D I wouldn’t throw out Esperit de corps (Burnet). They missed state last year by a spot and usually made state. And Area C will most likely have 5 Spots. I'll add Burnet in, it's always wise to consider the state alternates. In the case of Area C, I actually counted how many bands in that area got 1s this year, it was 22, and with Atlanta and Cleveland (both 1st division bands) no longer being in conference 4A for 2018 as of now, that's 2 less. I would assume more than 20 bands will pulls 1s in 2018 for sure though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daysin Posted December 24, 2017 Report Share Posted December 24, 2017 I'll add Burnet in, it's always wise to consider the state alternates. In the case of Area C, I actually counted how many bands in that area got 1s this year, it was 22, and with Atlanta and Cleveland (both 1st division bands) no longer being in conference 4A for 2018 as of now, that's 2 less. I would assume more than 20 bands will pulls 1s in 2018 for sure though. Oh, I didn't know Cleveland went to 3A. And You're right, It will most likely be 4. Possibly even 3 if not enough bands participate/get first division. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NETexasBandFan Posted December 25, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 25, 2017 Oh, I didn't know Cleveland went to 3A. And You're right, It will most likely be 4. Possibly even 3 if not enough bands participate/get first division. Actually they went to 5A, well over the limit too at 1400ish people. Participation is also no longer an issue because UIL changed it to be based off how many bands QUALIFY for area, not participate. 3A Area C actually had exactly 20 bands qualify, but only 18 participated at area, but they had 4 state spots anyway. But you're right, 4A area is at risk for 3 spots, which would be the lowest in years. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daysin Posted December 26, 2017 Report Share Posted December 26, 2017 I’m curious to how Cleveland will adjust to Area E/Area F in the coming years (if they decide to attend the contest). If Area C went down to 3 Bands, it would be a bloodbath for the top 3. To be honest it would be a bloodbath for one spot. The lock bands are Spring Hill and North Lamar. But then again, ANYTHING is possible, White Oak didn’t make state in 3A and In 2A Carlisle and Shelbyville didn’t advance either Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NETexasBandFan Posted December 27, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 27, 2017 I’m curious to how Cleveland will adjust to Area E/Area F in the coming years (if they decide to attend the contest). If Area C went down to 3 Bands, it would be a bloodbath for the top 3. To be honest it would be a bloodbath for one spot. The lock bands are Spring Hill and North Lamar. But then again, ANYTHING is possible, White Oak didn’t make state in 3A and In 2A Carlisle and Shelbyville didn’t advance either North Lamar is a 100% lock, I don't see how that band could not make it even with a horrible run at this point. Spring Hill on the other hand, they're a lock too but I can promise you all the other bands that made it below them or close will fighting hard for their spot. LCM is solid for a lock spot but I can see them being edged out by Bridge City or someone else. There could also be a wildcard, but Area C seems consistent for the most part. The top 7 bands at area finals in 2014 and 2016 were the exact same, just a slightly different order. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NETexasBandFan Posted March 7, 2018 Author Report Share Posted March 7, 2018 With the addition of Lumberton (5A state band) to 4A area C, I edited my predictions and almost certainly will say the bands advancing to state in Area C will be N Lamar, Spring Hill, Lumberton, and LCM. I'd say all will make state finals too, except maybe LCM, unless something significantly changes. J-Mike16 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daysin Posted May 20, 2018 Report Share Posted May 20, 2018 I find Lumberton making state finals as a tossup or not as likely. They did advance to state in 5A, but they got 30th out of 36th (Not saying this to insult, they are a great band program.) I’m not sure about them beating LCM either, they where only off 4A Finals by a point, but ANYTHING is possible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J-Mike16 Posted May 22, 2018 Report Share Posted May 22, 2018 As a member of the Lumberton band, i have to say that if we do make it to state, i will be happy just to be there and if we dont make state finals then well thats fine. Im not saying that we SHOULD make finals. I would love to but if not then thats fine. But i will say that from what my friends have told me(some of them are in bands that we are now going to be competing against) that apparently we are somewhat a threat to some bands already. Idk if thats true or not but i will say next year is going to be intense for sure. Mash 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mash Posted May 22, 2018 Report Share Posted May 22, 2018 As a member of the Lumberton band, i have to say that if we do make it to state, i will be happy just to be there and if we dont make state finals then well thats fine. Im not saying that we SHOULD make finals. I would love to but if not then thats fine. But i will say that from what my friends have told me(some of them are in bands that we are now going to be competing against) that apparently we are somewhat a threat to some bands already. Idk if thats true or not but i will say next year is going to be intense for sure. Good luck and play hard! J-Mike16 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bandboosterdad Posted September 19, 2018 Report Share Posted September 19, 2018 Any new predictions as we are closer to contest season? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dog885 Posted September 20, 2018 Report Share Posted September 20, 2018 I'm not sure if this changes Area D or anything, but Ann Richards is now 4A Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.